1. 미국연방준비제도(Fed)의 의장의 교체 시기는?
미국연방준비제도(Fed)의 의장이 벤 버냉키에서 재닛 옐런으로 2014년 2월 1일 바뀝니다.
티브데일리 - "재닛 옐런이 연방준비제도 차기 의장으로 인준됐다. 6일(현지시간) 미국 상원은 전체회의를 통해 찬성 56표, 반대 26표를 얻어 차기 연준의장이 됐다. 이에 재닛 옐런은 다음달 1일부터 벤 버냉키 의장 후임으로 미국 중앙은행을 이끌게 됐다."
보름여 앞으로 다가왔습니다
최근 비트코인 시세가 변동성이 줄어들며넛 박스권을 형성하고 있는 상황도 Fed 의장으로 재닛옐런이 취임해서
비트코인을 어떤 관점으로 바라볼지, 그리고 어떤 언급을 할지에 관심을 모으면서
비트코인 시세 또한 치열한 눈치를 보이고 있는 상황입니다.
"연방 준비 제도(聯邦準備制度, 영어: Federal Reserve System, Federal Reserve, Fed)는 미국의 중앙은행이다. 1913년 연방 준비법에 의해 설립되었다. 대통령이 임명하고 상원이 승인한 이사 7명으로 이루어진 연방 준비 제도 이사회에서 지급 준비율 변경, 주식 거래에 대한 신용 규제, 가맹 은행의 정기 예금 금리 규제, 연방 준비 은행의 재할인율을 결정한다. 중앙이사회는 워싱턴 D. C.에 위치하고 현재 의장은 벤 버냉키이다. 미국 각지에 연방 준비 은행(Federal Reserve Banks) 12개 지점(보스턴, 뉴욕, 필라델피아, 시카고, 샌프란시스코, 클리블랜드, 리치먼드, 애틀랜타, 세인트루이스, 미니애폴리스, 캔자스시티, 댈러스)이 있다. 연방 준비 제도를 국립은행이라고 오해하지만 사실은 사립은행이다."
[위좌측 : 그린스펀, 위 우측 : 버냉키, 아래 재닛 옐런]
2. 비트코인에 대한 미국연방준비제도(Fed)의 전직,현직 의장의 언급?
[그린스펀]
Greenspan Says Bitcoin a Bubble Without Intrinsic Currency Value
Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said Bitcoin prices are unsustainably high after surging 89-fold in a year and that the virtual money isn’t currency.
“It’s a bubble,” Greenspan, 87, said today in a Bloomberg Television interview from Washington. “It has to have intrinsic value. You have to really stretch your imagination to infer what the intrinsic value of Bitcoin is. I haven’t been able to do it. Maybe somebody else can.”
“I do not understand where the backing of Bitcoin is coming from,” the former Fed chief said. “There is no fundamental issue of capabilities of repaying it in anything which is universally acceptable, which is either intrinsic value of the currency or the credit or trust of the individual who is issuing the money, whether it’s a government or an individual.”
[버냉키]
Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke told the Senate committee the U.S. central bank has no plans to regulate the currency.
“Although the Federal Reserve generally monitors developments in virtual currencies and other payments system innovations, it does not necessarily have authority to directly supervise or regulate these innovations or the entities that provide them to the market,” Bernanke wrote to lawmakers.
* 필자의 포럼 글 [그린스펀과 버냉키 참고]"
3. 재닛 옐린은 누구인가?
MK뉴스 - "재닛 옐런 미국 연방준비제도 차기 의장은 올해 창설 100주년을 맞는 연준 역사상 첫 여성 의장이다.
지미 카터 전 대통령에게 지명돼 1979년 취임한 폴 볼커 전 의장 이후 최초로 민주당원 의장이 되는 동시에 부의장이 의장으로 승진한 첫 사례이기도 하다.
브라운대에서 경제학을 전공하고 예일대에서 경제학 박사 학위를 받은 뒤 하버드대 조교수, 연준 이코노미스트를 거쳐 캘리포니아대 버클리 캠퍼스(UC 버클리)에서 강의했다. 이후 1994년 연준 이사로 중앙은행에 합류한 뒤 빌 클린턴 정권에서 백악관 경제자문위원장(1997~1999년)을 역임했다. 2004년부터 2010년까지 샌프란시스코 연방준비은행 총재를 지냈으며 2010년에 연준 부의장이 됐다. 혁혁한 경력 외에도 옐런에 대해 주목할 점은 많다.
은사와 남편 모두 노벨 경제학상 수상자로 그의 사상에 많은 영향을 미쳤다는 점이다. 옐런이 경제학을 평생 학문으로 생각하기 시작한 것은 토빈세를 주창한 제임스 토빈 예일대 교수 강의를 들었을 때부터였다. 남편은 2001년 `정보 비대칭 이론`으로 노벨 경제학상을 수상한 조지 애컬로프 교수로 연준 이사회에서 연을 맺었다. 논문 집필, 경제 전망에도 뛰어났다. 월스트리트저널은 그의 경제 전망 발언을 입수해 분석한 결과 38건 중 36건이 적중했다고 보도한 바 있다. 서브프라임 모기지에 대한 위험 경고도 포함돼 있다. "
4. 재닛 월런의 의중을 읽어보자..
http://money.cnn.com/2013/11/14/news/economy/janet-yellen-confirmation-hearing/
2013년 11월 - 기준금리 제로수준에서도 미 경제 휘청, 경제 지원을 계속 해야...
Janet Yellen breezed through questions about the financial crisis, the Fed's stimulus efforts and banking regulation, as the Senate Banking Committee weighed her nomination to serve as future head of the Federal Reserve on Thursday.
While a few senators raised concerns about the more than $3 trillion in stimulus the Fed has been injecting into the U.S. economy, Yellen defended the central bank with ease, often pointing to high unemployment as her top concern above all else.
"This is a virtually unprecedented situation," she said, referring to the 4 million Americans who have remained unemployed for more than six months.
"We know that those long spells of unemployment are particularly painful for households, impose great hardship and costs on those without work, on the marriages of those who suffer these long unemployment spells," she added. "So I consider it imperative that we do what we can to promote a very strong recovery."
Asked about the risks of more stimulus, Yellen repeatedly told the senators she currently sees no major bubbles forming, including in the stock market and housing market. Stockshave been routinely hitting new highs and housing prices have been rising this year, driven largely by the Fed's policies.
"Stock prices have risen pretty robustly, but I think that if you look at traditional valuation measures ... you would not see stock prices in territory that suggests bubble-like conditions," Yellen said.
Asked by Republican Senator Bob Corker if she would have the courage to "prick" bubbles, Yellen responded: "I believe that I would."
Janet Yellen: Fed still has more help to offer the economy
The Federal Reserve has been trying to stimulate the economy since December 2008, first by slashing short-term interest rates to near zero, and next by launching three bond-buying programs in an attempt to lower long-term rates as well.
The bond-buying program, known as quantitative easing, remains controversial but is still ongoing. The Fed currently buys $85 billion each month in Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities.
If confirmed, Yellen faces a daunting task: How to wean the economy off Fed stimulus at the right time.
Leading up to the hearing, some Fed watchers thought the central bank may begin to slow its bond-buying program at its next meeting in December.
Yellen, however, seems convinced that the bond-buying program could still help the economy. The benefits continue to outweigh the costs, she said.
"It's important not to remove support, especially when the recovery is fragile," she said. "I believe it could be costly to withdraw accommodation or to fail to provide adequate accommodation."
Much of the hearing focused on the Fed's role as a banking supervisor.
Democratic Senator Elizabeth Warren urged Yellen to make banking regulation just as a high of a priority as monetary policy.
"The truth is, if the regulators had done their jobs and reined in the banks, we wouldn't need to be talking about quantitative easing because we could have avoided the 2008 crisis," Warren said.
At one point Warren also suggested the Federal Reserve plan regularly scheduled meetings to discuss regulation -- just like it does to discuss interest rates.
"I think that's a very worthwhile idea," Yellen responded.
[Time] 2014. 1
Janet Yellen, vice chairman of the Federal Reserve, was confirmed Monday by the Senate to succeed Chairman Ben Bernanke as the next head of America’s central bank. Her term, which begins Feb. 1, will mark an important shift in the direction of the bank’s policy efforts, as it begins to “taper” back the past five years of unconventional monetary policy, which have resulted in the Fed pouring some $3.8 trillion into the U.S. economy following the financial crisis.
Read more: Janet Yellen Confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve | TIME.com http://business.time.com/2014/01/06/janet-yellen-fed-chair/#ixzz2qbzEohCu
While Yellen’s appointment marks continuity with the Bernanke era, and with the Fed’s policy of quantitative easing of which she was one of the chief architects, it also heralds a number of firsts. Yellen is the first woman to head the central bank, but even more important, she’s also its first openly reform-minded, Keynesian-oriented leader. A stellar academic economist and 36-year Fed veteran with a particular focus on the human impact of unemployment, Yellen has said on many occasions that the past five years of crisis, joblessness and slower growth “aren’t just statistics to me.”
Read more: Janet Yellen Confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve | TIME.com http://business.time.com/2014/01/06/janet-yellen-fed-chair/#ixzz2qbxCc6jq
6. 재닛 월런의 비트코인에 대한 바라보는 시선과 언급 시기의 선택은 ?
[연설문으로 분석한 재닛 옐런]매의 역할을 해야 할 비둘기의 운명은? [내일신문]
http://www.naeil.com/news_view/?id_art=68535
정책방향은 금융개혁입법인 도드-프랭크법과 장기 금리를 내릴 것으로 생각되며,
이는 투자상품에 대한 수요를 일으키게 할 수 있습니다. 비트코인도 투자상품인가요?
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일단은 Not bad... 진행사항을 보면서 업데이트 하겠습니다.
